Nuclear Deterrence In Southern Asia

CONTENTS List of Maps 9 List of Figures 10 List of Abbreviations 11 Preface 15 Acknowledgements 18 Chapter 1: Introduction 23 Searching for Explanations: Purpose and Propositions 24 Rationale/Structure of the Study 32 Chapter 2: Nuclear Weapons and International System 34 Cuban Missile Crisis 37 Ussuri River Clashes 42 Kargil Crisis 48 Conclusion 56 Chapter 3: Revisiting Deterrence 60 Punishment 61 Denial 62 Decision Making in Crisis: Biopolitics 66 Irrationality and Misperception 70 Triangular Deterrent Relationship 75 Limited War and Nuclear Risks 82 The Non-State Threat 93 Chapter 4: China 99 China's Strategic Culture 100 The Road to Lop Nur and After 117 Doctrine, Strategy and Force Modernisation 134 Foreign, Policy Issues 147 CTBT, NPT and FMCT 175 Chapter 5: India 197 Strategic Thought and Practice 199 Doctrinal Issues 224 Military Issues 238 Foreign Policy Issues 245 CTBT, NPT and FMCT 267 Chapter 6: Pakistan 276 Strategic Culture: National Security Discourse 278 Pakistan's Missile Development 295 Tacit Nuclear Doctrine 306 Foreign Policy Issues 321 CTBT, NPT and FMCT 340 Chapter 7: Conclusion 353 The Triangle: China, India and Pakistan 361 Limited War under Nuclear Umbrella 367 Likely Scenarios of Breakdown of Deterrence 389 Reducing Risks: Towards an Overall Strategy of Preventing Conflict 393 Key Variables in Future Interactions in the Triangle 403 References and Select Bibliography 419 Index 481 About the Author 496